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Daily Forex Review 21/02/12

USD Dollar (USD) – The US Dollar declined versus most majors as optimism regarding the Greek aid package sapped safe haven demand. Several key points of division remain in order to approve Greece’s bailout and prevent it from declaring bankruptcy next month. The US stock markets remained closed due to Presidents’ Day. Crude Oil gained by 1.5% closing at $105.10 and remains bullish above the $100 mark. Gold (XAU) gained by 0.63% closing at $1,732 an ounce. No economic data is expected today.

Euro (EUR) – The Euro continued to gain versus the Dollar as Greece’s second bailout is likely to be approved today. Delays or a dismissal of the bailout could lead to sharp declines in the Euro. Stock exchanges in Europe finished higher, the DAX30 gained by 1.46% and the CAC40 by 0.96%. The EUR/USD is currently considered bullish above the 1.31 support level. The pair faces its next resistance level around 1.33.  Today, the ECOFIN meetings will be held in Brussels.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3210

Resistance 1.3280 1.3320 1.3350
Support 1.3150 1.3120 1.3050

 

British Pound (GBP) – The British Pound gained as optimism rose and Home Prices increased, in more signs that the economy is improving. The FTSE 100 gained by 0.68% at 5,945.25 and the GBP/USD continues to be bullish as long as it remains above the 1.58 support level. The pair is facing its next major resistance at the 1.5920 level. Today, Public Sector Net Borrowing is expected with -8.9B versus 10.8B previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5830 

Resistance 1.5900 1.5930 1.5970
Support 1.5800 1.5770 1.5700

 

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen declined versus the Dollar nearly reaching its lowest level since August the 4th as demand for the safety of the Yen wanes. Technically, the USD/JPY broke above its strong resistance level at 79.50 and the momentum continues to be bullish. No major economic data is expected today.

USD/JPY – Last: 79.60

Resistance 80.00 80.45 80.75
Support 79.40 79.00 78.75

Canadian Dollar (CAD) The Canadian Dollar remained strong versus the Greenback after oil prices rose to a 9 month high. Iran said it halted Crude Oil exports to the UK and France as a response to sanctions on Iran’s nuclear program. The high yielding Loonie is set for more gains as economic conditions seem to be improving and investors turn to more risky assets but a change in the current optimism could bring a reversal. The USD/CAD is currently on a downtrend and a break below the 0.9890 support level could lead to a fall in the pair. Today, Core Retail Sales are expected with 0.1% versus 0.3% previously. Retail Sales are expected with -0.2% and Wholesale Sales are expected with 0.6%.

USD/CAD – Last: 0.9950

Resistance 0.9980 1.0025 1.0050
Support 0.9900 0.9850 0.9800

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Daily Forex Review 14/02/12

USD Dollar (USD) – The US Dollar strengthened versus most major currencies as risk aversion grew following the S&P rating agency downgrading of 15 Spanish based financial institutions and after Moody’s downgrading of Italian, Spanish and Portuguese Ratings. The Greek Parliament passed the package of cuts needed to complete the next step towards securing the second bailout of at least 130 billion Euro and avoid a chaotic default. Wall Street closed positive as Germany and the European Commission welcomed Greek approval of the austerity steps required for a financial lifeline. The Dow rose by 0.57% and the NASDAQ gained by 0.95%. Crude oil rose by 1.90% to a one-month high after the Greek parliament approved an austerity plan, easing Europe’s debt crisis. Sanctions tightened on Iran as Crude Oil closed at $100.80 a barrel. Gold (XAU) fell by 0.10%, to close at $1719.00 an ounce. Today, Core Retail Sales are expected to grow by 0.60% vs. -0.20% previously and Retail Sales are expected to grow by 0.80% vs. 0.10% previously, Treasury Secretary, Geithner, is expected to speak.

Euro (EUR) – The Euro fell versus the Greenback after Moody’s Investors Service cut the debt ratings of six European countries including Italy, Spain and Portugal, sapping demand for riskier assets. Despite the fact that Greek Prime Minister, Lucas Papademos, won approval from parliament for austerity measures to secure a second package of aid from the European Union and International Monetary Fund. At the same time, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services downgraded 15 Spanish based financial institutions after taking similar action on Italian banks last week. The EUR/USD’s momentum is negative below the 1.3250 level and as long as the pair is trading below this level the Euro may continue to weaken. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3180 and with a high of 1.3283. Today, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment is expected at-11.8 vs.-21.6 previously and Industrial Production is expected to fall by -1.1% vs. -0.1% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3150

Resistance 1.3200 1.3250 1.3310
Support 1.3100 1.3030 1.2970

 

British Pound (GBP) – The Pound extended its losses versus the US Dollar as Moody’s Investors Service said that Britain risks losing its top-grade credit rating if the economy deteriorates. The GBP\USD’s momentum remains bearish below the 1.5770 level. The next support level on the 4 hour chart is located at 1.5700 and breaking this level will probably cause the Pound to decrease toward the 1.5600 level. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5709 and with a high of 1.5813. Today, the CPI is expected to grow by 3.6% vs.4.2% previously and the BOE Inflation Letter is expected to be released.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5710

Resistance 1.5770 1.5820 1.5900
Support 1.5700 1.5650 1.5610

 

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Dollar posted another positive day against the Yen after the BOJ left its overnight call rate at 0.10% as expected. The USD/JPY’s momentum is bullish as long as the pair is trading above the 77.20 level. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 77.50 and with a high of 77.79. No economic data is expected to be released today.

USD/JPY-Last: 77.90

Resistance 78.20 78.80 79.20
Support 77.20 76.60 76.30

Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar fell from a 3 month high versus its US counterpart as risk sentiment deteriorated. The currency, which is linked to Commodities, lost ground despite crude oil gains. As long as the pair is trading below the 1.0040 level, the US Dollar’s momentum is still negative. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 0.9971 and with a high of 1.0010. No economic data is expected to be released today.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0015                 

Resistance 1.0040 1.0080 1.0180
Support 0.9930 0.9900 0.9840

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Daily Forex Review 07/02/12

USD Dollar (USD) – The US Dollar closed mixed against the major currencies as Greece failed to reach an agreement with its creditors signaling a potential default, making higher yielding assets unstable. Wall Street closed negative as the S&P decreased by 0.04% and the Dow Jones by 0.13% respectively. Crude oil weakened by 1.00%, closing at $96.91 a barrel, Gold (XAU) declined by 0.77%, finishing at $1717.35 an ounce. Today, the Fed Chairman, Bernanke, will speak.

Euro (EUR) – The Euro fluctuated versus the Dollar as an unresolved Greek debt agreement added to concern that the region’s fiscal crisis is far from over. The EUR/USD’s momentum is positive above the 1.3100 level and as long as the pair is trading above this level, the Euro may continue to rise. It will probably break up at the next resistance level of 1.3150 and the moving average indicators on the daily chart support an uptrend. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3027 and with a high of 1.3141. Today, the German Industrial Production is expected to decline from -0.6% to -0.1%.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3100                

Resistance

1.3140

1.3235

 

Support

1.3025

1.2930

1.2845

 

British Pound (GBP) – The Pound gained slightly versus the Dollar after the Halifax HPI data was released better than the analysts forecast at 0.6% vs. 0.1%. TheGBP\USD’s momentum is bullish after breaking the 1.5800 level. The next resistance level on the 4 hour chart is located at 1.5850 and breaking this level will probably cause the Pound to increase toward the 1.5900 level. Overall, theGBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5730 and with a high of 1.5840. No economic data is expected to be published.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.5808

Resistance

1.5830

1.5880

 

Support

1.5765

1.5655

1.5530

 

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen traded inconstant versus the Dollar, closing almost unchanged as an unclear momentum in the higher yielding assets caused the pair to close steady. The USD/JPY’s momentum is bearish as long as the pair is trading below the 76.80 level and only if the pair breaks up this level will the Dollar be attractive again. The next support level is located at the 76.40 level. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 76.49 and with a high of 76.80. No major economic data is expected to be published.

USD/JPY-Last: 76.72

Resistance

76.80

77.10

77.50

Support

76.50

76.15

76.00

Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar weakened against the US Dollar following a positive Dollar and negative oil prices on news coming out of Greece. As long as the pair is trading below the 1.0000 level, the US Dollar’s momentum is negative. The next support level on the one hour chart is located at the 0.9920 level and breaking this level will probably cause the pair to decrease toward the 0.9870 level. Overall, the USD/CAD traded with a low of 0.9929 and with a high of 0.9993. Today, the Building Permits are expected to become positive from -3.6% to 0.2%.

USD/CAD – Last: 0.9963                                                                 

Resistance

1.0010

1.0070

1.0165

Support

0.9930

0.9900

 

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